Timezone: »
Off-policy evaluation (OPE) in both contextual bandits and reinforcement learning allows one to evaluate novel decision policies without needing to conduct exploration, which is often costly or otherwise infeasible. The problem's importance has attracted many proposed solutions, including importance sampling (IS), self-normalized IS (SNIS), and doubly robust (DR) estimates. DR and its variants ensure semiparametric local efficiency if Q-functions are well-specified, but if they are not they can be worse than both IS and SNIS. It also does not enjoy SNIS's inherent stability and boundedness. We propose new estimators for OPE based on empirical likelihood that are always more efficient than IS, SNIS, and DR and satisfy the same stability and boundedness properties as SNIS. On the way, we categorize various properties and classify existing estimators by them. Besides the theoretical guarantees, empirical studies suggest the new estimators provide advantages.
Author Information
Nathan Kallus (Cornell University)
Masatoshi Uehara (Harvard University)
More from the Same Authors
-
2022 Panel: Panel 3C-5: Biologically-Plausible Determinant Maximization… & What's the Harm? ... »
Bariscan Bozkurt · Nathan Kallus -
2022 Poster: Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning in Partially Observable Dynamical Systems »
Masatoshi Uehara · Ayush Sekhari · Jason Lee · Nathan Kallus · Wen Sun -
2022 Poster: The Implicit Delta Method »
Nathan Kallus · James McInerney -
2022 Poster: What's the Harm? Sharp Bounds on the Fraction Negatively Affected by Treatment »
Nathan Kallus -
2021 Workshop: Causal Inference Challenges in Sequential Decision Making: Bridging Theory and Practice »
Aurelien Bibaut · Maria Dimakopoulou · Nathan Kallus · Xinkun Nie · Masatoshi Uehara · Kelly Zhang -
2021 Poster: Risk Minimization from Adaptively Collected Data: Guarantees for Supervised and Policy Learning »
Aurelien Bibaut · Nathan Kallus · Maria Dimakopoulou · Antoine Chambaz · Mark van der Laan -
2021 Poster: Control Variates for Slate Off-Policy Evaluation »
Nikos Vlassis · Ashok Chandrashekar · Fernando Amat · Nathan Kallus -
2021 Poster: Post-Contextual-Bandit Inference »
Aurelien Bibaut · Maria Dimakopoulou · Nathan Kallus · Antoine Chambaz · Mark van der Laan -
2020 Workshop: Consequential Decisions in Dynamic Environments »
Niki Kilbertus · Angela Zhou · Ashia Wilson · John Miller · Lily Hu · Lydia T. Liu · Nathan Kallus · Shira Mitchell -
2020 : Spotlight Talk 4: Fairness, Welfare, and Equity in Personalized Pricing »
Nathan Kallus · Angela Zhou -
2020 Poster: Confounding-Robust Policy Evaluation in Infinite-Horizon Reinforcement Learning »
Nathan Kallus · Angela Zhou -
2020 Poster: Doubly Robust Off-Policy Value and Gradient Estimation for Deterministic Policies »
Nathan Kallus · Masatoshi Uehara -
2019 : Coffee break, posters, and 1-on-1 discussions »
Julius von Kügelgen · David Rohde · Candice Schumann · Grace Charles · Victor Veitch · Vira Semenova · Mert Demirer · Vasilis Syrgkanis · Suraj Nair · Aahlad Puli · Masatoshi Uehara · Aditya Gopalan · Yi Ding · Ignavier Ng · Khashayar Khosravi · Eli Sherman · Shuxi Zeng · Aleksander Wieczorek · Hao Liu · Kyra Gan · Jason Hartford · Miruna Oprescu · Alexander D'Amour · Jörn Boehnke · Yuta Saito · Théophile Griveau-Billion · Chirag Modi · Shyngys Karimov · Jeroen Berrevoets · Logan Graham · Imke Mayer · Dhanya Sridhar · Issa Dahabreh · Alan Mishler · Duncan Wadsworth · Khizar Qureshi · Rahul Ladhania · Gota Morishita · Paul Welle -
2019 : Coffee Break and Poster Session »
Rameswar Panda · Prasanna Sattigeri · Kush Varshney · Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy · Harvineet Singh · Vishwali Mhasawade · Shalmali Joshi · Laleh Seyyed-Kalantari · Matthew McDermott · Gal Yona · James Atwood · Hansa Srinivasan · Yonatan Halpern · D. Sculley · Behrouz Babaki · Margarida Carvalho · Josie Williams · Narges Razavian · Haoran Zhang · Amy Lu · Irene Y Chen · Xiaojie Mao · Angela Zhou · Nathan Kallus -
2019 : Opening Remarks »
Thorsten Joachims · Nathan Kallus · Michele Santacatterina · Adith Swaminathan · David Sontag · Angela Zhou -
2019 Workshop: “Do the right thing”: machine learning and causal inference for improved decision making »
Michele Santacatterina · Thorsten Joachims · Nathan Kallus · Adith Swaminathan · David Sontag · Angela Zhou -
2019 : Nathan Kallus: Efficiently Breaking the Curse of Horizon with Double Reinforcement Learning »
Nathan Kallus -
2019 : Poster Session »
Ahana Ghosh · Javad Shafiee · Akhilan Boopathy · Alex Tamkin · Theodoros Vasiloudis · Vedant Nanda · Ali Baheri · Paul Fieguth · Andrew Bennett · Guanya Shi · Hao Liu · Arushi Jain · Jacob Tyo · Benjie Wang · Boxiao Chen · Carroll Wainwright · Chandramouli Shama Sastry · Chao Tang · Daniel S. Brown · David Inouye · David Venuto · Dhruv Ramani · Dimitrios Diochnos · Divyam Madaan · Dmitrii Krashenikov · Joel Oren · Doyup Lee · Eleanor Quint · elmira amirloo · Matteo Pirotta · Gavin Hartnett · Geoffroy Dubourg-Felonneau · Gokul Swamy · Pin-Yu Chen · Ilija Bogunovic · Jason Carter · Javier Garcia-Barcos · Jeet Mohapatra · Jesse Zhang · Jian Qian · John Martin · Oliver Richter · Federico Zaiter · Tsui-Wei Weng · Karthik Abinav Sankararaman · Kyriakos Polymenakos · Lan Hoang · mahdieh abbasi · Marco Gallieri · Mathieu Seurin · Matteo Papini · Matteo Turchetta · Matthew Sotoudeh · Mehrdad Hosseinzadeh · Nathan Fulton · Masatoshi Uehara · Niranjani Prasad · Oana-Maria Camburu · Patrik Kolaric · Philipp Renz · Prateek Jaiswal · Reazul Hasan Russel · Riashat Islam · Rishabh Agarwal · Alexander Aldrick · Sachin Vernekar · Sahin Lale · Sai Kiran Narayanaswami · Samuel Daulton · Sanjam Garg · Sebastian East · Shun Zhang · Soheil Dsidbari · Justin Goodwin · Victoria Krakovna · Wenhao Luo · Wesley Chung · Yuanyuan Shi · Yuh-Shyang Wang · Hongwei Jin · Ziping Xu -
2019 Poster: The Fairness of Risk Scores Beyond Classification: Bipartite Ranking and the XAUC Metric »
Nathan Kallus · Angela Zhou -
2019 Poster: Assessing Disparate Impact of Personalized Interventions: Identifiability and Bounds »
Nathan Kallus · Angela Zhou -
2019 Poster: Policy Evaluation with Latent Confounders via Optimal Balance »
Andrew Bennett · Nathan Kallus -
2019 Poster: Deep Generalized Method of Moments for Instrumental Variable Analysis »
Andrew Bennett · Nathan Kallus · Tobias Schnabel -
2018 Workshop: Challenges and Opportunities for AI in Financial Services: the Impact of Fairness, Explainability, Accuracy, and Privacy »
Manuela Veloso · Nathan Kallus · Sameena Shah · Senthil Kumar · Isabelle Moulinier · Jiahao Chen · John Paisley -
2018 Poster: Causal Inference with Noisy and Missing Covariates via Matrix Factorization »
Nathan Kallus · Xiaojie Mao · Madeleine Udell -
2018 Poster: Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Grounding »
Nathan Kallus · Aahlad Puli · Uri Shalit -
2018 Spotlight: Removing Hidden Confounding by Experimental Grounding »
Nathan Kallus · Aahlad Puli · Uri Shalit -
2018 Poster: Confounding-Robust Policy Improvement »
Nathan Kallus · Angela Zhou -
2018 Poster: Balanced Policy Evaluation and Learning »
Nathan Kallus -
2017 Workshop: From 'What If?' To 'What Next?' : Causal Inference and Machine Learning for Intelligent Decision Making »
Ricardo Silva · Panagiotis Toulis · John Shawe-Taylor · Alexander Volfovsky · Thorsten Joachims · Lihong Li · Nathan Kallus · Adith Swaminathan