DiffLiG: Diffusion-enhanced Liquid Graph with Attention Propagation for Grid-to-Station Precipitation Correction

Modern precipitation forecasting systems, including reanalysis datasets, numerical models, and AI-based approaches, typically produce coarse-resolution gridded outputs. The process of converting these outputs to station-level predictions often introduces substantial spatial biases relative to station-level observations, especially in complex terrains or under extreme conditions. These biases stem from two core challenges: (i) $\textbf{station-level heterogeneity}$, with site-specific temporal and spatial dynamics; and (ii) $\textbf{oversmoothing}$, which blurs fine-scale variability in graph-based models. To address these issues, we propose $\textbf{DiffLiG}$ ($\underline{Diff}$usion-enhanced $\underline{Li}$quid $\underline{G}$raph with Attention Propagation), a graph neural network designed for precise spatial correction from gridded forecasts to station observations. DiffLiG integrates a GeoLiquidNet that adapts temporal encoding via site-aware OU dynamics, a graph neural network with a dynamic edge modulator that learns spatially adaptive connectivity, and a Probabilistic Diffusion Selector that generates and refines ensemble forecasts to mitigate oversmoothing. Experiments across multiple datasets show that DiffLiG consistently outperforms other methods, delivering more accurate and robust corrections across diverse geographic and climatic settings. Moreover, it achieves notable gains on other key meteorological variables, underscoring its generalizability and practical utility.