Reconciling Operational Energy Trilemma: A Heterogeneous Risk-Constrained MDP Framework with Residual Policy Learning
Abstract
Deep decarbonization is transforming power grids into safety-critical, low-carbon cyber-physical systems, where AI controllers must jointly manage economic efficiency, carbon reduction, and operational security. This operational energy trilemma is challenging for reinforcement learning: cost and carbon objectives are naturally optimized in expectation, whereas security violations are rare, heavy-tailed events whose consequences can be catastrophic and therefore require explicit tail-risk control. Existing safe reinforcement learning methods either constrain safety only in expectation or rely on light-tailed approximations, which can underestimate rare but severe grid violations. We propose a heterogeneous risk-constrained reinforcement learning framework for low-carbon grid operation. The key idea is to assign different risk semantics to different objectives: safety-critical security constraints are enforced through Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), while economic and carbon-related objectives are optimized in expectation to preserve operational flexibility. To better capture extreme scenarios, a mixture distribution model is introduced to characterize heavy-tailed constraint violations. We further develop a residual policy learning scheme built on a distributionally robust chance-constrained reference module: the robust module provides a feasible and economically efficient baseline policy, and the learned residual refines it toward lower-carbon operation while respecting tail-risk bounds. Experiments on power-system operation tasks show that the proposed framework reduces economic cost by over 25% compared with expectation-based CMDP baselines and improves safety by two orders of magnitude over Gaussian-tail methods. These results suggest that risk-aware reinforcement learning can support reliable decarbonization by reconciling efficiency, sustainability, and security within a unified decision-making framework.