Benchmarking Visual State Tracking in Multimodal Video Understanding

Understanding a video requires more than recognizing isolated moments, as humans continuously track entities, states, and events over time. This capacity for visual state tracking is fundamental to video understanding, yet remains underexplored in current evaluations of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs). We introduce Visual STAte Tracking benchmark (VSTAT), a video-based benchmark designed to diagnose visual state tracking in MLLMs. VSTAT consists of 834 clips drawn from both synthetic and real-world videos, paired with 1,500 questions that cannot be answered from any single frame or short segment, requiring continuous perception and integration of events across the entire video stream. Despite their strong performance on existing video benchmarks, we find that state-of-the-art MLLMs perform far below humans and only modestly above answer-prior baselines. To analyze this gap, we compare MLLMs' thinking traces with the underlying video stream to understand why and when MLLMs fail on VSTAT. We find that MLLMs reason and track correctly in text, but fail at visually perceiving the events they need to track. Finally, our preliminary evaluation suggests that recent agentic approaches, including MLLM-based video agents and coding agents, do not readily resolve these failures, still falling short on VSTAT.